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Estimating Transaction-Based Price Indices of Local Commercial Real Estate Markets

Authors: Dean H. Gatzlaff; Cynthia Holmes;

Estimating Transaction-Based Price Indices of Local Commercial Real Estate Markets

Abstract

This study examines the feasibility of constructing reliable commercial property price indices using property tax records. We employ the Clapp and Giacotto (1992) assessed-value method to estimate price indices from 1988:4 to 2008:4 for commercial properties in Florida. The estimated Florida commercial property price index is compared to the Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index (CPPI) and to the transaction-based index (TBI) produced by the Commercial Real Estate Data Lab at MIT. Our results are promising, suggesting that this widely-available data source can be used to produce commercial price indices for a wide variety of precise market locations and specific investor segments on an ongoing basis. We use our comprehensive database to examine two specific subsets in more detail. First, we narrow our range to focus on just the office sector for Florida. We compare price movements for the Florida office sector with the comparable CPPI. Estimates produce very similar price movements providing support to both methods. Second, we contrast the price performance of higher- and lower-valued properties. Chow tests indicate that Florida commercial properties assessed at $2.5 million, or above, appreciated on average at greater rates than those assessed below $2.5 million. In addition, our estimates indicate that highervalued properties performed especially well during periods of economic expansion. This finding represents an important contribution toward understanding the relative performance of smaller and institutional-grade commercial properties.

Related Organizations
Subjects by Vocabulary

Microsoft Academic Graph classification: Producer price index Property tax Index (economics) Economic expansion Actuarial science Real estate Price index Range (statistics) Econometrics Economics Database transaction

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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